Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 0.170793 0.192235 0.214738 0.240061 0.267706 0.296916 0.330056
2025-03-16 0.140880 0.169622 0.201361 0.238824 0.281639 0.328848 0.384637
2025-03-23 0.122996 0.156956 0.196120 0.244220 0.301279 0.366373 0.445790
2025-03-30 0.106286 0.143211 0.187535 0.243968 0.313168 0.394494 0.496477
2025-04-06 0.092796 0.131573 0.179880 0.243436 0.323714 0.420564 0.544948
2025-04-13 0.081591 0.121426 0.172817 0.242510 0.332947 0.444653 0.591187
2025-04-20 0.073784 0.114810 0.169447 0.245582 0.346765 0.474342 0.644787
2025-04-27 0.068391 0.110850 0.169050 0.252143 0.364929 0.509713 0.706241
2025-05-04 0.061945 0.104678 0.164988 0.253215 0.375488 0.535237 0.755445
2025-05-11 0.057846 0.101497 0.164736 0.259250 0.392645 0.569598 0.816767
2025-05-18 0.054260 0.098707 0.164721 0.265397 0.409923 0.604359 0.879270
2025-05-25 0.048995 0.092759 0.159555 0.263678 0.415896 0.623773 0.921484
2025-06-01 0.044645 0.087975 0.155925 0.264149 0.425187 0.648308 0.971805
2025-06-08 0.040325 0.082802 0.151279 0.262727 0.431516 0.668739 1.016861
2025-06-15 0.037982 0.080786 0.151426 0.268497 0.448422 0.704292 1.083514
2025-06-22 0.034651 0.076672 0.147851 0.268197 0.456139 0.726846 1.132364
2025-06-29 0.031601 0.072748 0.144276 0.267607 0.463235 0.748511 1.180261
2025-07-06 0.028781 0.068954 0.140617 0.266599 0.469502 0.768961 1.226690
2025-07-13 0.026921 0.066832 0.139670 0.269906 0.482453 0.799401 1.287999
2025-07-20 0.025782 0.066039 0.140988 0.276976 0.501446 0.839144 1.363509
2025-07-27 0.023877 0.063461 0.138900 0.278128 0.510978 0.864852 1.418891
2025-08-03 0.022848 0.062632 0.139940 0.284630 0.529221 0.904012 1.494740
2025-08-10 0.021898 0.061880 0.141051 0.291250 0.547780 0.943974 1.572429